Nearly six years ago Walmart sent 500 shelf-scanning robots home after concluding that workers picking online orders could see the
Conversations On Retail
July 20, 2026
Mattel, one of the world’s most recognizable toy companies, is dramatically realigning its global supply chain. Once heavily reliant on China, the company has already reduced its manufacturing in the region to less than 40% of its total output—and it plans to push that figure below 10% over the next two years.
This isn’t just about cost savings. The latest announcement from former President Donald Trump, pledging to reinstate sweeping tariffs on Chinese imports—including toys—has reignited a scramble across the consumer goods sector. Mattel’s response has been swift and strategic: over 500 products are now being repositioned to plants in Mexico, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand. The company has declared a goal of ensuring that no single country will account for more than 25% of its global production going forward.
Retailers should take note: this level of agility in operations reflects a broader shift that could reshape sourcing patterns for many categories beyond toys.
With an estimated $270 million in added costs projected for 2025 due to tariff-related pressures, Mattel has already begun raising prices on select products. These price adjustments are already visible in major U.S. retailers, where some items—like core Barbie dolls—have seen double-digit percentage increases in just weeks.
Despite the hikes, Mattel insists it is committed to affordability. The company aims to keep 40% to 50% of its portfolio priced under $20, a threshold that remains critical to household toy budgets.
Still, this delicate balance—between recovering costs and preserving price accessibility—poses tough questions for both toy makers and their retail partners: How do you absorb inflationary pressure without sacrificing velocity? And what happens to unit movement if tariffs remain elevated?
While retooling its operations, Mattel is also lobbying for broader exemptions on toys. CEO Ynon Kreiz has spoken publicly about the need to protect toys from tariff targeting, citing their educational and emotional value to children.
This effort echoes growing concern among manufacturers and retailers alike that consumer goods tied to childhood development should be treated differently than luxury items or electronics in trade policy deliberations.
The toy industry, which lacks the political muscle of sectors like agriculture or automotive, is finally finding its voice—and Mattel is leading that chorus.
At the same time, Mattel is diversifying its revenue model by leaning hard into intellectual property. The 2023 Barbie movie cracked open a massive opportunity, proving that legacy toy brands can evolve into content juggernauts.
The company is now actively developing a slate of movies and series based on properties like Hot Wheels and Uno, turning its toy box into a Hollywood pipeline. This shift won’t just impact revenue—it will also shape how children (and adults) engage with Mattel products across platforms, from streaming services to gaming to experiential retail.
This pivot to IP not only insulates Mattel from some manufacturing risks but also offers a compelling roadmap for other legacy CPG brands seeking to future-proof themselves.
Mattel’s current strategy represents more than a company-specific pivot—it’s a bellwether for how global brands will need to respond to geopolitical volatility in the years ahead.
For retail partners, there are a few key takeaways:
Mattel’s maneuvers in the face of renewed tariffs reflect a company that is not only responding to pressure—but using it as fuel for reinvention. As they reimagine what it means to be a toy company in a global, content-driven, politically turbulent economy, they are setting a precedent that others in the industry would be wise to follow.
The toy aisle may still be filled with familiar faces, but behind the scenes, everything is changing. And those changes are coming soon to a shelf near you.